How do we monitor growth?

The Growth Dashboard is published quarterly and brings together information from council, government agencies and the private sector, and is used to provide insight into what is occurring in our district.

December 2019(PDF, 3MB)
September 2019(PDF, 2MB)
June 2019(PDF, 2MB)

Council also contracts the Horowhenua New Zealand Trust to provide quarterly economic reports – the reports can be found on the Horowhenua New Zealand Trust's website

How do we predict growth?

Independent prediction

In 2017, Sense Partners completed the Horowhenua Socio-Economic Predictions report. The report included several predictions for growth. Council considered the report and agreed to take a middle of the road approach to growth adopting the 50th Percentile, which anticipated growth of just 0.8% per annum.

However, since 2015, the growth rate has outstripped predictions and instead is coming in at around the 95th Percentile.

Map showing population growth for the Horowhenua District.

The 2017 Sense Partners report can be viewed below.

View the Horowhenua Socio-Economic projections - Summary and Methods (July 2017)(PDF, 1MB)

Census and Statistics New Zealand

Like much of provincial New Zealand, the delay in carrying out a census because of the Canterbury Earthquakes, and then the subsequent delay in getting results from the 2018 Census, has been detrimental to the health and wellbeing of the people of Horowhenua.

For the best part of seven years, Central Government ignored our growing population because Statistics New Zealand predicted (based on old census results) that our population would hardly change.

In 2020, we can anticipate the release of information from the 2018 Census and while that insight will be welcome it will, by then, be two years old.

Why is this an issue?

Census results and Statistics New Zealand predictions are used by government ministries, regional councils and district health boards to determine funding and service levels such as health, education, police, public transport and much more – even electorate and ward boundaries.